“Defund Planned Parenthood” Tour Supports Guinta

Defeated Congressional candidate Jennifer Horn will join national representatives from the Susan B. Anthony List and Live Action to support Rep. Frank Guinta for his vote to defund Planned Parenthood.

The 14-stop “Women Speak Out: Defund Planned Parenthood” media tour will hit Manchester on March 10, 2011 at 1:00 pm. The campaign is supporting lawmakers in swing districts who voted for Rep. Mike Pence’s (R-IN) amendment denying all taxpayer funding to Planned Parenthood through September. The tour is a part of a larger $200,000 SBA List campaign including a one-week radio ad thanking Guinta for his vote.


Jennifer Horn Rewrites History

In a Union Leader piece today making her argument to lead the New Hampshire GOP, Jennifer Horn rewrites history by claiming Republicans have historically led the fight for social justice, including civil rights:

[I]t was a Republican Congress that fought for and finally passed civil rights legislation in the ’60s.

No. It was a Democratic President and a Democratic Congress that fought for and finally passed civil rights legislation in the 1960s.

The landmark Civil Rights Act of 1964 was first proposed by President Kennedy, a Democrat, in his civil rights speech of June 11, 1963 and championed by President Johnson, a Democrat, after Kennedy’s death. It was passed by the 88th Congress, where Democrats held a 258-177 majority in the House and a 66-34 majority in the Senate, and signed into law by President Johnson, a Democrat.

This is not to diminish the contribution of Republican legislators in passing the civil rights legislation. But fallout from its passage led the Republican party to adopt a “Southern strategy,” exploiting Southern racism and promoting state’s rights — and effectively ending the party’s historic commitment to civil rights and social justice.

Cross-posted to Blue Hampshire


Candidates Release Pre-Primary Fundraising Numbers

CQ Politics has the pre-primary fundraising numbers from the New Hampshire Congressional candidates. The figures below, from the candidates’ FEC filings, indicate campaign funds raised from July 1 through August 25 and cash on hand August 25.

1st District - Democrat 
Rep. Carol Shea-Porter: $53,000 / $529,000

1st District - Republicans
Frank Guinta: $43,000 / $157,000
Sean Mahoney: $21,000 + $100,000 loan / $121,00
Rich Ashooh: $24,845 + $25,000 loan / $80,685
Bob Bestani: $3,870 /  $29,551

2nd District - Democrats
Ann McLane Kuster: $223,000 / $450,000
Katrina Swett: $37,000 / $798,000

2nd District - Republicans
Charles Bass: $57,000 / $312,000
Jennifer Horn: $41,000 / $32,000
Bob Giuda: $17,000 / $32,000


Bass Internal Poll Shows Big Primary Lead

You should have a healthy skepticism when evaluating the results from a poll performed for and released by a candidate. Nate Silver explains why:

[W]hen an interested party conducts a poll, it is only liable to leak its results to the public if it contains good news for their candidate, thereby encouraging donors, press persons, etc. This does not mean per se that the poll is “biased.” … But it does mean that there may be a bias in which information becomes part of the public record: we learn about a poll that has a candidate ahead by 10 points in a state, but not one where he is down by 2.

With that warning in mind, James Pindell disclosed an internal poll for 2nd District Congressional candidate Charlie Bass showing Bass with a “huge primary lead.” The survey reportedly has Bass leading Jennifer Horn by 28 points (50% - 22%) in the GOP primary. Bob Giuda trails with 9% and 16% remain undecided.

Opponent Jennifer Horn was not impressed. Her response, according to Pindell: “Made up polling numbers will not fool voters.”


Campaign Finance Reports, 2nd Quarter 2010

I’ve compiled the 2nd Quarter campaign financial reports for all of the the Senate and House candidates in this handy-dandy spreadsheet. By now, you’ve probably already read analysis of the overall winners and losers. Here are a few additional items that caught my attention:

• New Hampshire tea party supporters may contribute energy and enthusiasm, but apparently not money. The candidates most identified with the tea party, Ovide Lamontagne, Jennifer Horn, and Bob Giuda, all trail badly in fundraising.

• Bob Giuda raised just $4,748 for the quarter (not including his $84,175 in self-funding). Do you think maybe his marriage-equality-leads-to-bestiality rant days before the end of the quarter hurt his ability to raise money?

• Carol Shea-Porter’s opponents have had to kick in bundles of their own money ($800,000 for Mahoney, nearly $250,000 for Guinta) just to stay competitive. Even then, she has a healthy advantage in cash-on-hand.

• Sean Mahoney spent $485,000 last quarter, more than all of the other NH-01 candidates combined and five times more than Carol Shea-Porter.


GOP Straw Poll Confirms Tea Party Favorites

Coalition of New Hampshire TaxpayersThe Coalition of New Hampshire Taxpayers, a coalition member of the New Hampshire Tea Party Coalition, held its 12th annual Taxpayer Reunion Picnic on Saturday. The results of the GOP straw poll identified the candidates receiving most support from tea party activists and highlighted the divide in the state GOP between the party establishment and tea party supporters.  

Ovide Lamontage, who most observers believe is running a distant third in the Republican primary campaign for U.S. Senate, won the straw poll by overwhelming establishment favorites Kelly Ayotte and Bill Binnie.

In the race for Congress in New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District, Jennifer Horn topped Bob Guida. Former Congressman and odds-on favorite Charlie Bass brought up the rear.

The closest race was in the 1st Congressional District, where the lines between the GOP establishment and tea party activists are blurred. Former National Republican Congressional Committee Young Gun Frank Guinta edged out Rich Ashooh. Sean Mahoney was a distant third.

John Stephen won the straw poll for Governor and confirmed his front-running status by besting tea party favorite Jack Kimbell.

Results for top three finishers in each race are below the fold.

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